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The Fifth Wave: Why Governments Target Wealth When Revenue Collapses

Australia is heading toward a convergence of pressures that I describe as The Five Waves.

The first four are already well underway:

  1. The property cycle turning
  2. AI replacing human labour at scale
  3. China no longer acting as Australia’s economic backstop
  4. Exploding NDIS and baby boomer expenditure

Each wave weakens government revenue.Together, they devastate the balance sheet.

Death Taxes, Wealth Taxes & the Five Waves Reshaping Australia Death Taxes, Wealth Taxes & the Five Waves Reshaping Australia

That brings us to the Fifth Wave — the inevitable response.

When governments run out of money, they don’t innovate. They tax what’s visible, immobile, and politically defensible.

That means estates, inheritances, and accumulated wealth.

The UK is the blueprint:

• Up to 40% estate tax

• Annual wealth taxes on high-value property

• Family homes forced to sale to fund tax liabilities

Australia has roughly $6 trillion in property set to transfer between generations over the next 20–25 years. That makes it the easiest target imaginable.

The danger isn’t that these taxes exist elsewhere.The danger is believing Australia is immune.

Video: https://youtu.be/lhP6NP5YsRw

History says otherwise.

The only defence is preparation — structuring early, protecting assets, and understanding how policy always follows revenue collapse.

The Fifth Wave isn’t about fear. It’s about foresight.

Protect family wealth before policy catches up.

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